●PREFACE
SUMMARY
1 Digital Resource Assessment Methods001
1.1 Technical Route002
1.1.1 Assessment on Wind Energy Resources003
1.1.2 Assessment on Wind Energy and Solar Energy Resources004
1.2 Data and Calculation008
1.2.1 Basic Data008
1.2.2 Computing Technology010
1.3 Assessment Model of Hydroenergy Resources013
1.3.1 Theoretical Potential013
1.3.2 Technical Potential Installed Capacity014
1.3.3 Economic Potential Installed Capacity015
1.4 Assessment Model of Wind Energy Resources016
1.4.1 Theoretical Potential016
1.4.2 Technical Potential Installed Capacity016
1.4.3 Economic Potential Installed Capacity021
1.5 Assessment Model of Solar Energy Resources029
1.5.1 Theoretical Potential029
1.5.2 Technical Potential Installed Capacity031
1.5.3 Economic Potential Installed Capacity036
2 Macro Site Selection Method of Renewable Energy Bases037
2.1 Technical Route038
2.1.1 Ideas of Study039
2.1.2 Data and Algorithm041
2.2 Quantitative Judgment Model for Selection of Bases044
2.2.1 Quantitative Model044
2.2.2 Example Analysis047
2.3 Digital Site Selection of Hydropower Stations050
2.3.1 Method Process050
2.3.2 Extraction of Digital River Networks051
2.3.3 Selection of Planned Reaches053
2.3.4 Analysis of Restrictive Factors054
2.3.5 Proposed Layout of Hydropower Station054
2.3.6 Calculation of the Main Parameter Index055
2.3.7 Drawing of Result Figures and Tables056
2.4 Digital Site Selection of Wind Power Stations057
2.4.1 Method Process057
2.4.2 Analysis of Wind Energy Resource Data057
2.4.3 Analysis of Restrictive Factors058
2.4.4 Equipment Selection and Automatic Layout Scheme059
2.4.5 Calculation of the Main Parameter Indicator063
2.5 Digital Site Selection of Photovoltaic Power Stations065
2.5.1 Method Process065
2.5.2 Analysis of Solar Radiation Data065
2.5.3 Analysis of Restrictive Factors066
2.5.4 Equipment Selection and Automatic Arrangement066
2.5.5 Calculation of the Main Parameter Indicator068
2.6 Investment Estimation Method of Renewable Energy Base070
2.6.1 Model and Method071
2.6.2 Results and Verification075
3 Hydroenergy Resources Assessment and Development079
3.1 Basic Conditions080
3.1.1 Distribution of Water Systems081
3.1.2 Hydrological Data084
3.1.3 Land Covers088
3.1.4 Geological Conditions089
3.2 Resource Assessment096
3.2.1 Dverview of Hydroenergy Resources096
3.2.2 Assessment Results096
3.2.3 Assessment Case of River Basins102
3.3 Base Development106
3.3.1 Development Status106
3.3.2 Layout of Bases108
3.3.3 Case of Site Selection of Bases113
4 Wind Energy Resources Assessment and Development123
4.1 Basic Conditions124
4.1.1 Distribution of Wind Speeds125
4.1.2 Land Covers125
4.1.3 Distribution of Conservation Areas129
4.1.4 Transportation Facilities132
4.1.5 Grid Facilities136
4.2 Resource Assessment142
4.2.1 Theoretical Potential142
4.2.2 Technical Potential Installed Capacity143
4.2.3 Development Cost148
4.2.4 Assessment Case of Countries152
4.3 Base Development155
4.3.1 Development Status155
4.3.2 Layout of Bases157
4.3.3 Case of Site Selection of Bases169
5 Solar Energy Resources Assessment and Development175
5.1 Basic Conditions176
5.1.1 Distribution of Global Horizontal Irradiance177
5.1.2 Land Covers177
5.1.3 Distribution of Terrains180
5.2 Resource Assessment186
5.2.1 Theoretical Potential186
5.2.2 Technical Potential Installed Capacity187
5.2.3 Development Cost192
5.2.4 Assessment Case of Countries196
5.3 Base Development199
5.3.1 Development Status199
5.3.2 Layout of Bases201
5.3.3 Case of Site Selection of Bases212
6 Outbound Transmission of Large Renewable Energy Bases217
6.1 Forecast of Electricity Demand218
6.2 Deep Electric Energy Substitution223
6.2.1 Hydrogen Production and Hydrogen Energy Utilization for Clean
Electricity223
6.2.2 Seawater Desalination and Ecological Restoration228
6.3 Backbone Grid of Global Energy Interconnection230
6.3.1 Power Delivery Direction230
6.3.2 Target Grid231
6.3.3 Construction Scheme for 2035235
6.4 Asia237
6.4.1 Power Delivery Direction237
6.4.2 Power Transmission Scheme238
6.5 Europe239
6.5.1 Power Delivery Direction239
6.5.2 Power Transmission Scheme240
6.6 Africa241
6.6.1 Power Delivery Direction241
6.6.2 Power Transmission Scheme242
6.7 North America243
6.7.1 Power Delivery Direction243
6.7.2 Power Transmission Scheme244
6.8 Central and South America245
6.8.1 Power Delivery Direction245
6.8.2 Power Transmission Scheme246
6.9 Oceania248
6.9.1 Power Delivery Direction248
6.9.2 Power Transmission Scheme249
7 Policy Environment and Investment and Financing Suggestions251
7.1 Overview of Global Investment and Financing Policies252
7.2 Policy Environment and Investment and Financing Suggestions for Each Continent257
7.2.1 Asia257
7.2.2 Europe260
7.2.3 Africa262
7.2.4 North America265
7.2.5 Central and South America267
7.2.6 Oceania269
EPILOGUE271
Appendix Key Algorithms of Geographic Information Operation273
聚焦全球各洲資源評估及基地開發,合作組織編制全球及亞洲、歐洲、非洲、北美洲、中南美洲、大洋洲等各大洲清潔能源開發與投資研究繫列報告。本報告作為繫列成果中的總報告,一方面繫統闡述了全球清潔能源資源評估與基地數字化宏觀選址的技術路線和模型方法;另一方面立足全球視角,基於各大洲清潔能源資源評估和大型基地的深入分析,展示了全球清潔能源開發與投資的研究成果。報告的第1、2章是研究的方法與數據,全面闡述了清潔能源資源評估和大型清潔能源發電基地宏觀選址的方法體繫、基礎數據和數學模型。第3~5章繫統展示了基於數字化方法的全球水能、風能和光伏資源評估與大型基地開發的研究成果。第6章是基地電力消納和外送方案研究,綜合分析了各洲電力供需趨勢,提出了大型基地的送電方向與輸電方式。第7章總結了全球清潔能源開發的投融資政策環境,提出了促進各大洲潔潔發展的投融資建議。