●PREFACE
SUMMARY
1 Current Situation and Trend of Hydrogen Energy Development001
1.1 Introduction to Hydrogen002
1.2 Development Status004
1.3 Green Hydrogen and Energy Transition007
1.3.1 Challenges of Energy Transition008
1.3.2 Green Hydrogen and Energy Transition010
1.3.3 Green Hydrogen and New Power System013
1.4 Reporting Ideas and Main Contents014
2 Key Technologies for Green Hydrogen017
2.1 Hydrogen Production Technology018
2.1.1 Current Technical Status018
2.1.2 Technology Comparison033
2.2.2 Technology Comparison053
2.2.3 R&D Direction059
2.2.4 Technical and Economic Trends061
2.3 Hydrogen Utilization Technology062
2.3.1 Current Technical Status063
2.3.2 Technology Comparison085
2.3.3 R&D Direction097
2.3.4 Technical and Economic Trends100
2.4 Summary101
3 Green Hydrogen Demand Projection and Development Potential105
3.1 Demand Forecast106
3.1.1 Economic and Social Development Expectation106
3.1.2 Prospect of Energy Scenarios115
3.1.3 Projection Models and Methods117
3.1.4 Analysis of Main Hydrogen Fields118
3.1.5 Demand Projection Results131
3.1.6 Scenario of China Energy Interconnection132
3.2 Development Potential and Cost134
3.2.1 Cost Projection of New Energy Power Generation135
3.2.2 Assessment of New Energy Resources136
3.2.3 Development Potential and Cost Optimization Model138
3.2.4 Assessment Results142
3.3 Summary144
4 Electricity-Hydrogen Coordinated Zero-carbon Energy System147
4.1 Necessity of Electricity-Hydrogen Coordinated Allocation148
4.2 Optimal Allocation Model149
4.2.1 Model and Algorithm149
4.2.2 Analysis of Typical Scenarios150
4.2.3 Comparison of Different Scenarios158
4.3 Study on Allocation of Green Hydrogen in China161
4.3.1 Control Scenario161
4.3.2 Green Hydrogen Allocation Research163
4.3.3 Electricity-hydrogen Coordinated Zero-carbon Energy System167
4.4 Comprehensive Values170
4.4.1 Value of Flexibility170
4.4.2 Guarantee Value of Electricity Supply172
4.4.3 Value of System Security174
4.4.4 Value of Emission Reduction175
4.5 Hydrogen Power Generation and Green Energy Center176
4.6 Summary178
5 Conclusion and Prospect181
5.1 Key Technology Prospects182
5.2 Green Hydrogen Demand Prospects184
5.3 Green Hydrogen Industry Prospects185
5.3.1 Policy Planning185
5.3.2 Industry Chain Development188
5.3.3 Market and Service Platform190
Appendix193
Appendix 1 Basic Data Sources and Details193
Appendix 2 Recommended Values of Main Parameters for Wind,Light,and Clean Energy Assessment196
Appendix 3 Resource-Assessment-Demand Hierarchical Optimization Algorithm199
Appendix 4 Optimization Model and Method of Electro-hydrogen Coordinated System200

本報告從需求、生產和配置三個角度，結合氫產業鏈的不同環節，分別梳理氫應用、氫制備、氫儲運方面的技術現狀，對比不同技術路線的經濟性，提出未來關鍵技術研發方向；結合碳中和能源情景和技術發展趨勢的分析，研判未來氫能需求的規模；基於清潔能源資源評估成果，研究綠氫制備的潛力和經濟性。在此基礎上，報告構建了電-氫零碳能源繫統的統籌優化分析模型，以全繫統用能成本大力度優惠為優化目標，提出了中國遠距離、大規模氫能配置的方案。本報告集合了全球能源互聯網發展合作組織對氫能的相關研究成果，旨在使讀者掌握綠氫產業應用、制備、儲輸等環節的技術現狀和發展趨勢，為政策制定者全面了解氫能發展前景、制定相關政策、規劃發展路徑提供參考。