●PrefaceI
List of TablesIX
List of FiguresⅪ
Chapter 1 Introduction1
Chapter 2 Policy Introduction: the California Solar Initiative7
1)The Joint Staff Report8
2)Megawatt-Triggering Mechanism10
3)Incentive Application Process13
Chapter 3 Optimal Subsidy Design with Stochastic Learning: A Dynamic Programming Evaluation of the California Solar Initiative17
1)Introduction17
2)The California Solar Initiative: Policy in Retrospect21
(1)CSI Target and Budget Setting21
(2)Megawatt-Triggering Mechanism22
(3)CSI Performance23
3)Modeling and Parameterization25
(1)Model Setup25
(2)Parameterization28
4)Results39
(1)Analytic Results39
(2)Deterministic Case41
(3)Stochastic Case51
5)Conclusions57
Chapter 4 Incentive Pass-through for Residential Solar Systems in California60
1)Introduction60
2)Literature Review63
3)Methods and Data67
(1)Structural Modeling68
(2)Reduced-form Regression73
(3)Data74
4)Results81
(1)Structural Modeling81
(2)Reduced-form Approach87
5)Conclusions91
Chapter 5 Analyzing Incentive Pass-through for the California Solar Initiative:A Regression Discontinuity Design95
1)Introduction95
2)CSI Policy Design and Suitability for RD Analysis98
3)Methods and Data100
(1)Methods100
(2)Data104
4)Results112
(1)Time Discontinuity112
(2)Geographic Discontinuity122
5)Conclusions127
Chapter 6 Conclusion130
Appendix134
Bibliography137

本書以作者的博士論文為基礎，聚焦於技術擴散基本理論和新型技術政府補貼政策的設計和評估，以美國光伏太陽能行業發展很好的加州為例，介紹了加州政府的光伏補貼政策、設計基本原則和過程以及政策的很終實施效果，並從補貼政策優化設計和補貼轉嫁效應兩個視角透視加州的光伏補貼政策。本研究發現美國加州的光伏補貼政策通過引入靈活性機制設計，很好地處理了光伏技術快速進步所帶來的成本和價格不確定性；另外，在補貼轉嫁效應方面，研究發現政府的補貼幾乎全額被消費者獲得，因此政策取得了良好的效果。本研究對於優化我國的光伏補貼政策、補貼類似新型技術（如風能、電動車、電池技術）等相關問題有重要的啟示和借鋻意義。