綱要······················································································1
方法論·············································································2
主要發現··········································································2
結論················································································4
第一章 搭建舞臺:評估人工智能影響的方法 ································7
測量人工智能能力和影響的已有研究 ··································· 10
人工智能能力探索性測評的目標 ········································· 15
本報告的結構·································································· 18
參考文獻········································································ 18
注釋·············································································· 20
第二章 人類技能與人工智能能力的演變 ···································· 23
技能供給的變化······························································· 25
人工智能能力的最新發展 ·················································· 36
測量人工智能能力的重要性 ··············································· 46
參考文獻········································································ 48
附錄2.A補充表格 ·························································· 52
注釋·············································································· 62
第三章基於“成人技能調查”的人工智能能力測評的方法論 ·········· 63
“成人技能調查”概述 ························································ 64
確定一組計算機科學家 ····················································· 70
收集專家判斷·································································· 72
問卷開發········································································ 74
構建人工智能讀寫和計算能力表現的綜合度量 ······················· 76
困難挑戰和經驗教訓 ························································ 77
參考文獻········································································ 79
第四章專家對人工智能讀寫和計算能力的測評 ··························· 81
人工智能在讀寫領域的能力評估 ········································· 82
人工智能在計算領域的能力評估 ········································· 96
參考文獻·······································································111
附錄4.A補充表格 ·························································112
第五章2016—2021年人工智能讀寫和計算能力的變化 ················113
人工智能讀寫能力隨時間推移的變化 ··································115
人工智能計算能力隨時間推移的變化 ··································123
參考文獻·······································································131
附錄5.A補充圖表 ·························································131
注釋·············································································135
第六章人工智能能力的持續進步對就業和教育的影響 ·················137
測評結果概要·································································138
不斷發展的人工智能讀寫和計算能力對政策的影響 ················145
測評人工智能的新方法 ····················································158
參考文獻·······································································159
注釋·············································································162
譯後記 ················································································163